Abstract

Security is a necessary component of the life of individuals and society as a whole. One of the most important components of the national security is demographic security, which achievement in the Republic of Belarus means the neutralization of threats such as depopulation, population ageing, degradation of the family institute and unregulated migration processes.
 The article presents a methodology for a comprehensive statistical assessment of the demographic security of the Republic of Belarus for 2000–2019, based on of the dualistic approach to the interpretation of this concept, proposed by the author, namely: real and potential demographic security. The real demographic security is the degree of protection from demographic threats in the current social circumstances, which is largely determined by the compliance of government policy with demographic realities.
 The proposed methodology for a comprehensive assessment of demographic security includes five consecutive phases: formulating a definition of “demographic security”, identifying demographic threats, building a set of indicators for a comprehensive statistical assessment of demographic security, assessing the effect of demographic threats (general and real), and, finally, assessing the degree of protection from demographic threats (real demographic security).
 The structural components of the overall strength of demographic threats are the degrees of real demographic security and the real strength of the threats. The following trend in these values was observed in the Republic of Belarus in 2000-2019: an increase in the degree of real demographic security in parallel with a decrease in the degree of real combined strength of threats in 2015 compared to 2000, giving way to a decrease in the first indicator and an increase in the second one in 2019. It follows that the achievements of the Republic of Belarus in demographic security were short-lived. For a systemic change in the negative trends, it is necessary to form a favorable demographic situation through the active use of educational and propagandist measures.

Highlights

  • Security is a necessary component in the life activity of individuals, with the second rank in the Maslow’s hierarchy of needs

  • Chudaeva [4, p. 149], authors of the above mentioned monograph [3, p. 15] and others. This approach was used in the definition of this notion, given in the Law of the Republic of Belarus “Demographic security”: Demographic security is the state of protection of the socio-economic development of the government and society from demographic threats, which ensures the development of the Republic of Belarus in compliance with its national demographic interests” [8]

  • Summing up the theoretical part of the studied problem, it needs to be noted that the real demographic security refers to the degree of protection from demographic threats in the prevailing social conditions, which is to a great extent conditional on the compliance of government policy with demographic realities

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Summary

Introduction

Security is a necessary component in the life activity of individuals, with the second rank in the Maslow’s hierarchy of needs. This approach was used in the definition of this notion, given in the Law of the Republic of Belarus “Demographic security”: Demographic security is the state of protection of the socio-economic development of the government and society from demographic threats, which ensures the development of the Republic of Belarus in compliance with its national demographic interests” [8]. It refers to a combination of specific components of demographic and social nature, prevailing in a given period and capable to either enhance or reduce the efficiency of the government’s protection system. Summing up the theoretical part of the studied problem, it needs to be noted that the real demographic security refers to the degree of protection from demographic threats in the prevailing social conditions, which is to a great extent conditional on the compliance of government policy with demographic realities. The Republic of Belarus was the first in the Commonwealth of Independent Nations to adopt the Law “Demographic

Depopulation
Net immigration
Conclusions
O demograficheskoy bezopasnosti Respubliki Belarus
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