Abstract

The performance of wind turbines directly determines the profitability of wind farms. However, the complex environmental conditions and influences of various uncertain factors make it difficult to accurately assess and monitor the actual power generation performance of wind turbines. A data-driven approach is proposed to intelligently monitor the power generation performance evolution of wind turbines based on operational data. Considering the inherent nonlinearity and structural complexity of wind turbine systems, a data-derived characteristic construction and dimensionality reduction method based on KPCA is adopted as a prerequisite. Additionally, an AdaBoost-enhanced regressor is applied to wind power prediction with adequate inputs, and day-oriented deviation indicators are further constructed for quantifying performance fluctuations. The final validation phase includes two application cases: In the first case, the results show that the proposed method is sensitive enough to capture the early characteristics of blade damage faults. In the second case, an uncertainty error within ±0.5% demonstrates that the proposed method has high-level accuracy in the quantitative assessment of the power performance and good practical effectiveness in real engineering applications.

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