A complex path model for low-carbon sustainable development of enterprise based on system dynamics

Abstract

Enterprises are essential to the realization of sustainable development in human society. However, there is still a lack of simulation models that can dynamically explain, predict and evaluate the complexity of enterprise sustainable development. Therefore, this paper adopts the method of system dynamics to construct a low-carbon sustainable development level model of enterprise. The four indicators of low-carbon economic benefits, low-carbon technology stock, low-carbon human resources, and CO2 emissions reflect the level of low-carbon sustainable development of enterprises. The results show that the level of low-carbon sustainable development of enterprises is not high (<0.6); low-carbon human resources have two stages of decline and rise; government supervision and low-carbon technology can significantly reduce CO2 emissions. However, multi-scenario simulation results show that in the early stage of low-carbon sustainable development of enterprise, excessive government supervision will reduce the low-carbon economic benefits of enterprise. Within 10 years, policy supervision can reduce CO2 emissions by up to 67% and increase low-carbon benefits by 17%; low-carbon technology can reduce CO2 emissions by up to 60% and increase low-carbon benefits 33%. The government and enterprises should formulate appropriate policies and strategies based on the level of low-carbon sustainable development of enterprises.