Abstract

ObjectivesHerein, we purposed to establish and verify a competing risk nomogram for estimating the risk of cancer-specific death (CSD) in Maxillary Sinus Carcinoma (MSC) patients.MethodsThe data of individuals with MSC used in this study was abstracted from the (SEER) Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data resource as well as from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University (China). The risk predictors linked to CSD were identified using the CIF (cumulative incidence function) along with the Fine-Gray proportional hazards model on the basis of univariate analysis coupled with multivariate analysis implemented in the R-software. After that, a nomogram was created and verified to estimate the three- and five-year CSD probability.ResultsOverall, 478 individuals with MSC were enrolled from the SEER data resource, with a 3- and 5-year cumulative incidence of CSD after diagnosis of 42.1% and 44.3%, respectively. The Fine-Gray analysis illustrated that age, histological type, N stage, grade, surgery, and T stage were independent predictors linked to CSD in the SEER-training data set (n = 343). These variables were incorporated in the prediction nomogram. The nomogram was well calibrated and it demonstrated a remarkable estimation accuracy in the internal validation data set (n = 135) abstracted from the SEER data resource and the external validation data set (n = 200). The nomograms were well-calibrated and had a good discriminative ability with concordance indexes (c-indexes) of 0.810, 0.761, and 0.755 for the 3- and 5-year prognosis prediction of MSC-specific mortality in the training cohort, internal validation, and external validation cohort, respectively.ConclusionsThe competing risk nomogram constructed herein proved to be an optimal assistant tool for estimating CSD in individuals with MSC.

Highlights

  • Maxillary sinus carcinoma (MSC) accounts for 1%–4% of all head and neck cancers [1]

  • Overall, 478 individuals with MSC were enrolled from the SEER data resource, with a 3- and 5-year cumulative incidence of cancer-specific death (CSD) after diagnosis of 42.1% and 44.3%, respectively

  • The Fine-Gray analysis illustrated that age, histological type, N stage, grade, surgery, and T stage were independent predictors linked to CSD in the SEER-training data set (n = 343)

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Summary

Introduction

Maxillary sinus carcinoma (MSC) accounts for 1%–4% of all head and neck cancers [1]. Diagnosis of maxillary sinus is difficult because of its hidden anatomical site and complex adjacent relationship. In most patients it has already invaded the bone wall and surrounding tissues when they are diagnosed, meaning they have a poorly defined prognosis [2]. Numerous reports have documented the prognosis of general oral cancer [3] and Nasopharyngeal carcinoma [4], but few have addressed MSC. Numerous reports have documented the survival of individuals with MSC. It is critical to strengthen research on MSC prognosis

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