Abstract

The effectiveness of educational interventions has traditionally been evaluated using effect size measures which focus on a single feature of the distribution of the outcomes under intervention and control conditions: a (standardized) mean difference. Recently there has been increased interest in methods which assess the information contained in the full distributions of outcomes under intervention and control, providing measures of separation from these distributions which do not depend on arbitrary cutoffs, hence which are “threshold-free”. We investigate the statistical relationship between several concepts of this type, and discuss how they can be used to estimate alternative effect size metrics as well as their uncertainties in the context of multilevel models as commonly used for the analysis of educational data. A specific aim of this paper is to investigate how the recently proposed “gain index” relates to other measures of separation including the Area under the Curve (AUC) and the overlapping index. A simulation study, using data with an educationally motivated structure, is presented to compare the different methodologies.

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