A Comparative study of the Envisaged and Definite Stock Prices of BSE SMEs Using RNN during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Abstract

The stock market is unstable, but the use of machine learning algorithms allows to predict its future dynamics before spending. The most popular area of scientific research right nowadays is machine learning, which involves enabling computers to perform tasks that often require human intelligence. The purpose of this paper is to construct a model using a network of Long-Short Term Memory model (LSTM) to forecast future stock market values. The paper presents the advantages and disadvantages of machine learning for assessing and forecasting the stock market. A review of literature on the application of machine learning models in key areas of finance using methodological model assessment and data manipulation is also available. This paper focuses on the losses of the SME sector due to COVID-19 by doing a comparative study using secondary data collection between the predicted closed stock prices and actual stock prices of the BSE SME IPO index for the period from 1 January 2018 to 30 April 2021.The LSTM network of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) most effective deep learning model, is used to predict stock prices. The study provides insight and direction on where lockdown has a massive impact on the stock prices of BSE SME IPOs. The authors developed a model for predicting the future value of stock in the market, the application of which gave some positive results, demonstrating the need for machine learning and how it can change the world of finance. The novelty of the study is that in India, machine learning and deep learning methods in the field of finance are used much less often than in other countries.