Abstract

Terrorism is becoming threatening and fear-provoking phenomenon for the present globe. The occurrence of terrorists’ activities is carried on without discrimination of Muslim and Non- Muslim countries. Present study investigates the trends and severity of terrorism in both Muslim and Non-Muslim countries. Forty five Muslim and one hundred thirty Non-Muslim countries are considered. Strong economic performance may reduce terrorism. The relationship of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita with terrorism is also calculated. In both types of countries, terrorist activities are evaluated through number of attacks, killings and injured persons. Besides this, the correlation is also applied to examine the association among number of attacks, killings and injured persons. Descriptive statistics evidently shows the huge losses in the form of Number of attacks, Killings and Injured persons. From 1980s to 2015, total terrorist attacks, killed persons and injured persons are 67518, 188775 and 272683 respectively in Muslim countries. In the sameway, in Non-Muslims countries, from 1980s to 2015, total terrorist attacks, killed persons and injured persons are 86914, 159386 and 167828 respectively. Number of injuries and killings are comparatively higher in Muslim countries whereas Non-Muslim countries have higher number of attacks. Panel Ordinary Least Square (OLS) technique is used to examine the relationship among these variables and Per Capita GDP. Elevated correlation is found among number of attacks, killings and injured persons. However, thecorrelation among per capita GDP and the other variables found negative. OLS findings as well show negative relationship among per capita GDP and number of attacks, killings and injured persons. With the increase in per capita GDP, terrorism will be minimized. Improvement in economic activity can reduceterrorism outcomes particularly in developing countries.

Highlights

  • The study about the measurement, implications and determinants of terrorism has been a vigorous field of research for social scientists since 1960s

  • This study investigates the relationship of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita with different terrorism variables

  • Methodological procedure including measurement and description of variables, econometric models to estimate the association among number of attacks, injuries, GDP per capita and killings have been discussed

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Summary

Introduction

The study about the measurement, implications and determinants of terrorism has been a vigorous field of research for social scientists since 1960s. Political scientists studied terrorism descriptively and historically due to some data constraints. They focused on definition of terrorism, trends, identification of terrorist groups and their movements.. Rationality is based on predictability not desirability of terrorists’ tactics or goals.. Since 9/11 attacks quantitative analysis of terrorism has increased. Terrorist attacks in Muslim and non-Muslim countries rose from 1968 to the mid-1980s with about 500 incidents per year.

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