A combined non-enhanced CT radiomics and clinical variable machine learning model for differentiating benign and malignant sub-centimeter pulmonary solid nodules.

Abstract

Radiomics has been used to predict pulmonary nodule (PN) malignancy. However, most of the studies focused on pulmonary ground-glass nodules. The use of computed tomography (CT) radiomics in pulmonary solid nodules, particularly sub-centimeter solid nodules, is rare. This study aims to develop a radiomics model based on non-enhanced CT images that can distinguish between benign and malignant sub-centimeter pulmonary solid nodules (SPSNs, <1cm). The clinical and CT data of 180 SPSNs confirmed by pathology were analyzed retrospectively. All SPSNs were divided into two groups: training set (n=144) and testing set (n=36). From non-enhanced chest CT images, over 1000 radiomics features were extracted. Radiomics feature selection was performed using the analysis of variance and principal component analysis. The selected radiomics features were fed into a support vector machine (SVM) to develop a radiomics model. The clinical and CT characteristics were used to develop a clinical model. Associating non-enhanced CT radiomics features with clinical factors were used to develop a combined model using SVM. The performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC). The radiomics model performed well in distinguishing between benign and malignant SPSNs, with an AUC of 0.913 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.862-0.954) in the training set and an AUC of 0.877 (95% CI, 0.817-0.924) in the testing set. The combined model outperformed the clinical and radiomics models with an AUC of 0.940 (95% CI, 0.906-0.969) in the training set and an AUC of 0.903 (95% CI, 0.857-0.944) in the testing set. Radiomics features based on non-enhanced CT images can be used to differentiate SPSNs. The combined model, which included radiomics and clinical factors, had the best discrimination power between benign and malignant SPSNs.