A Clinico-Genetic Score Incorporating Disease-Free Intervals and Chromosome 8q Copy Numbers: A Novel Prognostic Marker for Recurrence and Survival Following Liver Resection in Patients with Liver Metastases of Uveal Melanoma

Abstract

Surgical treatment of liver metastases of uveal melanoma (LMUM) could be proposed for selected patients. This retrospective study examined the prognostic significance of the genetic profiles of liver metastases after LMUM resection. A total of 86 patients treated with resection for LMUM, who underwent genetic analysis of liver metastasis, were included. A multivariable Cox model identified the independent predictors of recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). The disease-free interval (DFI) and a chromosome 8q surgain (>3 copies) were independent predictors and categorized patients into three risk groups with distinct postoperative prognoses. For the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk scores of recurrence, the median RFS values were 15 months (95% CI: 10–22), 6 months (95% CI: 4–11), and 4 months (95% CI: 2–7), and the median OS values were 86 months (95% CI: 55-NR), 25 months (95% CI: 17–48), and 19 months (95% CI: 12–22), respectively. The predictive accuracy of this scoring system was demonstrated by a mean area under the curve (AUC(t)) of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.65–0.90) for RFS and 0.81 (95% CI: 0.70–0.92) for OS. This novel score, based on a DFI of ≤24 months combined with a chromosome 8q surgain, identifies patients at a high risk of early recurrence and could help clinicians to propose perioperative treatment.