Abstract

ABSTRACTSeveral caribou and reindeer (Rangifer tarandus) populations have experienced recent population declines, often attributed to anthropogenic stressors such as harvesting, landscape fragmentation, and climate change. Svalbard reindeer (R. t. platyrhynchus), the wild reindeer subspecies endemic to the high‐Arctic Svalbard archipelago, was protected in 1925, after most subpopulations had been eradicated by harvest. Although direct pressure from harvest has ceased, indirect anthropogenic stressors from environmental changes have increased in this climate change hot spot. An assessment of the current distribution and abundance is therefore urgently needed. We combined distance sampling (300 km transects, n = 489 reindeer groups) and total counts (1,350 km2, n = 1,349 groups) to estimate the Svalbard reindeer distribution and abundance across its entire range, which we compared with historical data from the literature and radiocarbon‐dated bones. Reindeer have now recolonized nearly all non‐glaciated land (i.e., areas occupied prior to human presence), and their spatial variation in abundance reflects vegetation productivity. Independent of vegetation productivity, however, recently recolonized areas have lower reindeer densities than areas not subject to past extirpation. This suggests that recovery from past overharvesting is still in progress. These incompletely recovered areas are potential targets for increased monitoring frequency and maintaining strict conservation to follow the Svalbard management goal (i.e., virtually untouched wilderness areas). Because of such ongoing recolonization, possibly combined with vegetation greening effects of recent warming, our status estimate of Svalbard reindeer abundance (22,435 [95% CI = 21,452–23,425]) is more than twice a previous estimate based on opportunistic counts. Thus, although our study demonstrates the successful outcome of strict harvesting control implemented a century ago, current and future population trajectories are likely shaped by climate change. © 2019 The Authors. Journal of Wildlife Management Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of The Wildlife Society.

Highlights

  • Determining the distribution and abundance of species across their entire range is difficult to achieve but important for evaluating conservation status (Yoccoz et al 2001, Pollock et al 2002, Jones 2011, Martin et al 2015)

  • Much of the Arctic has recently experienced an increase in temperature (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC] 2014) and extreme rain‐on‐snow events in winter led to population die‐offs of some large Arctic ungulate populations (Miller and Gunn 2003, Rennert et al 2009, Hansen et al 2013, Forbes et al 2016)

  • Svalbard reindeer live in a predator‐free environment (except documented kills by polar bear (Ursus maritimus); Derocher et al 2000) and use relatively small seasonal home ranges (Tyler 1987, Tyler and Øritsland 1989), displacement is documented in response to poor winter conditions (Stien et al 2010, Loe et al 2016)

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Summary

A Century of Conservation

MATHILDE LE MOULLEC ,1 Centre for Biodiversity Dynamics, Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), NO‐7491 Trondheim, Norway ÅSHILD ØNVIK PEDERSEN, Norwegian Polar Institute (NPI), NO‐9296 Tromsø, Norway AUDUN STIEN, Norwegian Institute for Nature Research (NINA), Arctic Ecology Department, Fram Centre, NO‐9296 Tromsø, Norway JØRGEN ROSVOLD, Norwegian Institute of Nature Research (NINA), NO 7034 Trondheim, Norway BRAGE BREMSET HANSEN , Centre for Biodiversity Dynamics, Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), NO‐7491 Trondheim, Norway

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