A Caputo fractional derivative dynamic model of hepatitis E with optimal control based on particle swarm optimization

Abstract

Hepatitis E, as a zoonotic disease, has been a great challenge to global public health. Therefore, it has important research value and practical significance for the transmission and control of hepatitis E virus (HEV). In the exploration of infectious disease transmission dynamics and optimal control, mathematical models are often applied. Among them, the fractional differential model has become an important and practical tool because of its good memory and genetic characteristics. In this paper, an HEV propagation dynamic model is constructed by the Caputo fractional derivative. First, the properties of the model are analyzed, including the existence, non-negativity, boundedness, and stability of the equilibrium points. Then, from the perspective of fractional optimal control (FOC), control measures were proposed, including improving the awareness and prevention of hepatitis E among susceptible people, strengthening the treatment of infected people, and improving environmental hygiene. Then, an FOC model of HEV was constructed. After analyzing the necessary conditions for optimality, the particle swarm optimization is introduced to optimize the control function. In addition, four control strategies are applied. Finally, the numerical simulation is completed by the fractional Adams–Bashforth–Moulton prediction correction algorithm. The four strategies and no control were compared and analyzed. The numerical simulation results of different fractional orders are also compared and analyzed. The results illustrate that the optimal strategy, compared with no control, reduces the HEV control time by nearly 60 days. Therefore, this method would contribute to the study of HEV transmission dynamics and control mechanisms, thus contributing to the development of global public health.