A biological and a mathematical model of SLE treated by mesenchymal stem cells covering all the stages of the disease

Abstract

In this study, we proposed a biological model explaining the progress of autoimmune activation along different stages of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). For any upcoming stage of SLE, any new component is introduced, when it is added to the model. Particularly, the interaction of mesenchymal stem cells, with the components of the model, is specified in a way that both the inflammatory and anti-inflammatory functions of these cells would be covered. The biological model is then recapitulated to a model with less complexity that explains the main features of the problem. Later, a 7th-order mathematical model for SLE is proposed, based on this simplified model. Finally, the range of validity of the proposed mathematical model was assessed. For this purpose, we simulated the model and analyzed the simulation results in case of some known behaviors of the disease, such as tolerance breach, the appearance of systemic inflammation, development of clinical signs, and occurrence of flares and improvements. The model was able to reproduce these events, qualitatively.