Abstract

Abstract. The Réal Collobrier hydrological observatory in south-eastern France, managed by Irstea since 1966, constitutes a benchmark site for regional hydro-climatology. Because of the dense network of stream gauges and rain gauges available, this site provides a unique opportunity to evaluate long-term hydro-meteorological Mediterranean trends. The main catchment (70 km2) and its sub-catchments are located in the Massif des Maures of south-eastern France, close to the Mediterranean coast. The vegetation is composed of forest mainly calcified on crystalline soils (maquis of heath, cork-oak, maritime pine and chestnut). Direct human influence has been negligible over the past 50 years. The land use and land cover has remained almost unchanged, with the notable exception of a wildfire in 1990 that impacted a small sub-catchment. Therefore changes in the hydrological response of the catchments are caused by changes in climate and/or physical conditions. This study investigates changes in observational data using up to 50-year daily series of precipitation and streamflow. The analysis used several climate indices describing distinct modes of variability, at inter-annual and seasonal timescales. Trends were assessed by the Mann–Kendall method. The analysis also used hydrological indices describing drought events based on daily data for a description of low flows, in particular in terms of timing and severity. The analysis shows that there is a marked tendency towards a decrease in the water resources of the Réal Collobrier catchment in response to climate trends, with a consistent increase in drought severity and duration. But the changes are variable among the sub-catchments.

Highlights

  • The Mediterranean climate is known for its warm, dry summers and high-precipitation events, mainly occurring during autumn (Drobinski et al, 2014)

  • The analysis shows that there is a marked tendency towards a decrease in the water resources of the Réal Collobrier catchment in response to climate trends, with a consistent increase in drought severity and duration

  • Chaouche et al (2010) studied trends in the western part of the Mediterranean region over the 1970–2006 period. They mainly found an annual increase in temperature and potential evapotranspiration (PET), while no significant trends were detected for annual precipitation

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Summary

Introduction

The Mediterranean climate is known for its warm, dry summers and high-precipitation events, mainly occurring during autumn (Drobinski et al, 2014). Chaouche et al (2010) studied trends in the western part of the Mediterranean region over the 1970–2006 period They mainly found an annual increase in temperature and potential evapotranspiration (PET), while no significant trends were detected for annual precipitation. Several studies focused on the evolution of precipitation extremes over the region (Tramblay et al, 2013; Ribes et al, 2018; Pujol et al, 2007). They concluded that there had been a significant intensification in extreme precipitation events at the regional scale, while at the local scale the evolution was highly variable. Hertig and Tramblay (2017) found a widespread increase in meteorological droughts in the whole Mediterranean basin for the period 1970–2000. Lespinas et al (2010) suggested that groundwater evolution has a significant impact on drought trends and dynamics in the region

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