Abstract

In recent years, deep learning techniques have been developed in the field of storm nowcasting, and they primarily focus on 2D radar product processing. Deep learning’s application to obtaining motion fields is limited by the lack of a motion field ground truth dataset for training. In this paper, we propose a method for storm motion estimation based on a point cloud deep learning network, which can perform 3D motion field estimation on two consecutive frames of weather radar volumetric data. To address the lack of ground truth data, we propose a synthetic data generation method based on Perlin noise and also generate a dataset to train the network. Our model’s architecture is based on FlowNet 3D. In this sense, we import an attention architecture to improve its ability to embed motion features. We also redesign the loss function to make it suitable for our task. In the experiment section, we first evaluate the performance of the trained model on our synthetic dataset. The experimental results demonstrate the following: first, that the trained network has the ability to estimate 3D motion from radar point cloud data; second, that it is a robust solution for radar data with different resolutions and observation ranges; and finally, that for the examined task, our proposed architecture has a 5-15% lower end point error than the original. Then, we directly apply the model trained on synthetic data to real cases, demonstrating the feasibility of our trained model on real data. Although motion field is a low-level product when considering a storm’s evolutionary process, it has the potential to serve a higher-level purpose, such as lightning or hail nowcasting. The point cloud approach provides a new perspective on weather radar data processing.

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