Abstract
Abstract Background There is growing evidence that low-density lipoprotein-triglyceride (LDL-TG) may be a better biomarker to define atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk than LDL-cholesterol (LDL-C), which is currently used to stratify risk and as a treatment goal. Because LDL-TG typically requires additional advanced lipid testing, we developed an equation for estimating LDL-TG (eLDL-TG) from the results of the standard lipid panel. Methods Results from a general dyslipidemic population (N = 40 202), which were obtained with beta-quantification (BQ) reference method, were randomly divided into a training and validation datasets and used to develop the equation for estimating LDL-TG shown in Fig. 1A. Association of Sampson-NIH-LDL-C (NIH-LDL-C) and eLDL-TG with ASCVD risk markers was done in the National Heart and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) (N = 37 053) and with ASCVD events in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study (N = 14 749). Results The comparison between eLDL-TG and measured LDL-TG was only modest (R2 = 0.601, slope = 0.611), but eLDL-TG (Fig. 1B) showed better risk stratification than NIH-LDL-C (Fig. 1C) by survival curve analysis in ARIC. Moreover, receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed that eLDL-TG was better than all other lipid-marker tests for ASCVD events (AUC: eLDL-TG = 0.633, HDL-C = 0.627, sdLDL-C = 0.621, remnant-cholesterol = 0.613, NonHDL-C = 0.613, TG = 0.603, apoB = 0.598, NIH-LDL-C = 0.590, TC = 0.568). In NHANES, eLDL-TG was more strongly associated with hypertriglyceridemia, obesity, diabetes, metabolic syndrome and increased high-sensitivity C-reactive protein than NIH-LDL-C. Inclusion of eLDL-TG in a Cox-Proportional Hazards Model along with other conventional risk factors (age, sex, race, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, smoking, HDL-C, and total cholesterol) did not further improve risk prediction. Conclusions Like LDL-C, LDL-TG can also be estimated from the results of the standard lipid panel. It is a better univariate risk marker than LDL-C and hence can be useful for initial ASCVD risk stratification.
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