Abstract

This paper analyses – in the context of the 2019 presidential elections – the prospective, near future scenarios for the existing conflicts that have developed in and around Ukraine. It applies a comparative analysis of the campaign programs of the most outstanding candidates, as well as the possible Russian security prognoses in response to the results of the elections. As a basic assumption, it regards the realist international political theory as a means that helps to most precisely understand the current status quo that appeared as a consequence of the Maidan movements and the armed conflict.

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