Abstract

Abstract Aim Degenerative spine disease (DSD) of the lumbar spine is a common disorder among the aging population in the world, with a substantial humanistic and economic burden. Although lumbar spinal fusion is currently the mainstay surgical management of DSD, surgery is also associated with adjacent segment disease due to the modification of spinal biomechanics. Therefore, it is important to identify potential risk factors of DSD in order to prevent progressive deterioration and provide early intervention before the surgical option is absolutely necessary. Method Adult patients who underwent posterior lumbar spinal fusion from 2006-2016 were identified via OPCS-4codes. Smoking status, weight, age of operation, gender, diagnosis of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) were obtained via TrakCare®. The degree of deprivation was extrapolated using the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) 2020 quintile score. Data were analysed using logistic regression. Results In total, 313 met inclusion criteria and had data available, of which 205 and 108 patients underwent single and multi-level lumbar fusion respectively. Within the study population, 66.8% (206) and 33.2% (104) were female and male. Adjusted for all outcome measures, age of operation achieved statistical significance (p = 0.040). There was a 1.021-fold increase in risk of multi-level spinal fusion with each additional year of age. Weight was approaching statistical significance (p = 0.068). Conclusions Lumbar spinal health declines over time, but some patients experience more progressive deterioration. While some components of the spine are irreparable, early prescription of regimented exercise programs may strengthen spinal musculature to maintain a healthy sagittal balance, particularly in older, overweight, female patients.

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