482. Time Series Analysis of Antimicrobial Consumption and Pseudomonas aeruginosa Resistance in an Academic Medical Center in the United States (2013–2018)

Abstract

BackgroundMonitoring antimicrobial use and resistance are key components of initiatives to promote antimicrobial stewardship and prevent antimicrobial-resistant infections. In this surveillance study, we evaluated trends in resistance among healthcare-associated P. aeruginosa isolates and potential associations with antimicrobial consumption.MethodsWe established a retrospective cohort of P. aeruginosa isolates collected ≥48 hours after inpatient admission at a 1,300-bed academic medical center from July 1, 2013 to July 31, 2018. We included isolates from all clinical cultures and retained the first isolate for a patient encounter. We defined the multidrug-resistant (MDR) status in accordance with the phenotype definitions established by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. We calculated the monthly percentage of class-specific resistance and MDR status among isolates. We measured monthly antimicrobial consumption as days of therapy per 1,000 patient-days. To evaluate potential associations between identified trends in resistance and antimicrobial use, we constructed autoregressive integrated moving average models (ARIMA) with transfer functions.ResultsOf 1,897 isolates included in the analysis, 303 (16.0%) were classified as MDR P. aeruginosa. The rate of healthcare-associated P. aeruginosa infections and percent of MDR isolates remained stable over the five-year study period. However, we identified trends in resistance to specific antimicrobial classes: there was a significant increase in resistance to antipseudomonal carbapenems, while resistance to aminoglycosides and extended-spectrum cephalosporins decreased. Using the ARIMA modeling strategy, bivariable analyses of resistance and antimicrobial use revealed that carbapenem-resistant P. aeruginosa was positively correlated with the use of antipseudomonal carbapenems at a 1-month lag and ertapenem at a 5-month lag.ConclusionRisk assessments that only measure rates of MDR organisms may miss underlying trends in class resistance. Increasing carbapenem resistance despite a stable proportion of MDR isolates highlights a critical area for continued monitoring and antimicrobial stewardship initiatives targeted at carbapenem use in our hospital. Disclosures All authors: No reported disclosures.