Abstract

Abstract Background and Aims A significant proportion of diabetic kidney patients experience a rapid decline in GFR, leading to ESRD within months. Although there is a large number of studies on DKD, at present, there is a lack of well-controlled long follow-up studies to assess the burden of rapid progression, distinguishing the clinical profile of rapid progressors from non-progressors and its predictors. Identifying independent risk factors that contribute specifically to rapid progression is essential to prevent end-stage renal disease. Here we conducted a retrospective, hospital-based cohort study aimed to assess the prevalence, clinical profile, and clinical predictors for the rapid progression of DKD in type 2 DM. Method Type 2 DKD patients attending tertiary care hospital in South India were involved between January 2018 and 2022. CKD5 and those without minimum 6 months follow-up were excluded. Patients were followed up for 3.5 years. A sustained decline of eGFR >10 mL/1.73 m2/year was defined as rapid progressors. Patients were categorized into rapid and non-rapid progressors. Clinical profiles, micro-macrovascular complications, cardiovascular events, and other risk factors for rapid progression were studied. Data were analyzed using SPSS22 Results In a median follow-up of 3.5 years, 220(61.3%) were rapidly progressed with median eGFR decline 12ml/1.73 m2/year(IQR 8.5-19.3), and 139(38.7%) were non-rapid progressors with median eGFR decline 1.6ml/1.73 m2(IQR-0-3.3).The baseline characteristics were given in Table 1. The presence of hypertension, proteinuria, diabetic retinopathy, and cardiovascular events (p-0.01) was higher in rapid progressors than non-progressors.On logistic regression analysis, independent predictors of rapid progression were proteinuria (OR4.7;95%CI(2.24-9.88); P = .001), diabetic retinopathy(OR 0.24; 95% CI(0.11-0.52); P = .001), and AKI episodes(OR 2.18;95% CI (1.28-3.71); P = .003) (Table 2). Conclusion The majority of type 2 DKD patients in our setting are rapid progressors. The higher degree of baseline proteinuria, presence of diabetic retinopathy, and AKI episodes were found independently associated with clinical predictors of progression.

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