Abstract

Abstract Background A vaccine developed to prevent invasive extraintestinal pathogenic Escherichia coli disease (IED) is being evaluated in a phase 3 clinical trial (NCT04899336). However, historical performance of similar clinical trials has been challenged by inefficient endpoint catchment. Here we report the EXPECT-1 (NCT04087681) study findings on the capture techniques for IED and hospital admissions in a community-based setting. Methods EXPECT-1 was a prospective, observational study conducted in networks of 8 hospitals with surrounding primary care centers in North America, Europe, and Asia. Participants were followed for 1 year to track hospital admissions and occurrence of IED as reported by the primary care physician (PCP) or the participant. In 151 US participants, a geofence technology was used to track admissions to hospital areas. Participants were eligible if aged ≥ 60 years and if they did not have severe chronic conditions. Data were collected from October 24, 2019 until January 28, 2021. Study outcomes included incidence of IED and the rate of hospital admission. Results In total, 4470 participants were enrolled: 68% were female, 74.4% were white, median age was 70 years, and 59.4% had a urinary tract infection (UTI) in the past 10 years. Four IED events were captured with a cumulative incidence (95% CI) of 0.09% (0.024–0.229%) and an incidence rate of 98.6 cases (25.6–248.4) per 100,000 person-years. The incidence increased to 0.15% (0.041–0.385%) and 164.4 (43.8–420) per 100,000 person-years among participants with a history of UTI. Of the 4 IED events, 2 were participant self-reports, 1 PCP report, and 1 report via follow-up phone call. Of all hospital admissions, 56.6% were captured by PCPs and 48.7% by participants’ self-reports. The Kappa statistic varied from 0.31–0.65, indicating fair to moderate agreement between PCP reports and participant self-reports. Geofencing captured 99% of > 800 entries and exits from hospital areas. Conclusion The findings suggest that older adults with a history of UTI in the past 10 years may be a good target population for an efficacy clinical investigation on IED. PCP reports, participant self-reports, and geofencing can be promoted to track study endpoints in a community-based clinical trial setting. Disclosures Joachim Doua, MD, MPH, Janssen: Employee|Janssen: Stocks/Bonds Stephen Ruhmel, MPH, Janssen: Employee Oscar Go, PhD, Janssen: Employee of Janssen Research & Development LLC. Ranee Chatterjee, MD, MPH, Bristol Myers Squibb: Grant/Research Support|Epigenomics: Grant/Research Support|Verily: Grant/Research Support Michal Sarnecki, MD, Janssen: Employee|Janssen: Stocks/Bonds Jan Poolman, PhD, Janssen: Janssen Vaccines & Prevention B.V.|Janssen: Stocks/Bonds Marc Bonten, MD, PhD, Astra-Zeneca: Advisor/Consultant|Janssen: Advisor/Consultant|Merck: Advisor/Consultant|Novartis: Advisor/Consultant.

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