Abstract

Abstract Background and Aims Obesity is a representative modifiable risk factor for chronic kidney disease (CKD). This study aimed to investigate whether both body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) and changes of WHR during follow-up are risk factors for development of incident CKD. Method A total of 2 711 participants from a community-based cohort with normal renal function were prospectively analyzed. Among participants with obesity, we analyzed the change in WHR to evaluate the association of obesity reduction with CKD development. Results During a mean follow-up of 11.03 ± 4.22 years, incident CKD occurred in 190 (7.0%) participants. In the fully adjusted multivariable Cox proportional hazard models, the risk of incident CKD increased with higher BMI (hazard ratio, 1.06; 95% confidence interval, 1.00–1.11; p = 0.033) and higher WHR (hazard ratio, 1.33; 95% confidence interval, 1.07–1.66; p = 0.009). In the Kaplan–Meier analysis, cumulative adverse renal events were significantly more common in the maintained obesity group than in the reduced obesity group (p = 0.001). Conclusion Both higher BMI and WHR were associated with development of CKD, but the magnitude of the effect of WHR was higher than that of BMI. Moreover, reducing obesity would be beneficial for renal prognosis.

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