中共對中亞外交政策之研究(2001~2011年)

Abstract

This thesis is based on the model of the political system to examine China's foreign policy toward Central Asia from 2001 to 2011. This thesis made several findings. First, There are external internal factors affecting China’s foreign policy setting. In external factors, China faces competitions from other strong countries, such as the U.S. and Russia for regional influence in Central Asia. Since the 911 terrorist attacks, moreover, the US posed military presence in Central Asia to conduct a strategic containment towards Russia and China. In internal factor, the stability of China’s northwest establishes a stable environment for promoting China’s development, and building economic relationship with Central Asia. The affluent supply of petroleum resource of Central Asian will accelerate the steps of China’s “Western Development” policy. Secondly, “Shanghai Cooperation Organization”（SCO） is the first multilateral international institution created by China. Under the framework of SCO, China and Central Asian cooperates in the aspect of national security, and gradually expands their cooperation into other non-traditional security fields such as economy, environmental protection. China relies on the superiority of the economy and geography to provide the economic interest for every member of the SCO. That would provide China with the opportunity to handle so-called “Malacca Dilemma”. The cooperation of SCO member states are increasing and evolving constantly, which shows that the organization has its own institutional specificities. However, the strategic interests of great powers in Central Asia are still being important variables to affect the future development of SCO. And that will affect China’s foreign policy setting.