Abstract

To provide comprehensive data on the diagnostic and prognostic value of [18F]-FDG PET (PET) in anal canal cancer patients. This study was designed following the PRISMA-DTA guidelines. For the meta-analysis, published original articles (until December 2022) that met the following criteria were included: Evaluated PET for locoregional and/or distant disease detection in patients with histopathology-proven anal canal cancer; Compared PET with a valid reference standard; Provided crude data to calculate meta-analytic estimates. Diagnostic measurements from subgroups were calculated in evaluating primary tumour detection, T stage, lymph node and distant metastases. Articles providing prognostic information on PET were also reported as a systematic review. For pooled meta-analytic calculations, the hierarchical method was used. The bivariate model was conducted to find the summary estimates. Analyses were performed using STATA 16. After the screening, 28 studies were eligible to enter the meta-analytic calculations, and data from 15 were reported descriptively. For distinguishing T3/T4 from other T-stages, PET had pooled sensitivity and specificity of 91%(95%CI:72%-97%) and 96%(95%CI:88%-98%), respectively. The sensitivity and specificity for detecting metastatic (regional and/or distant) disease were 100% (95%CI:82%-100%) and 95% (95%CI:90%-98%), respectively. For therapy response assessment, the sensitivity and specificity of PET were 96%(95%CI:78%-99%) and 86%(95%CI:75%-93%), respectively. Higher pre-treatment total metabolic tumour volume was predictive of poorer survival. Conversely, for those achieving complete metabolic response, the 2-year PFS was 94%(95%CI:91%-97%) versus 51%(95%CI:42%-59%) for others (p-value < 0.001). PET may be a useful tool for anal canal cancer therapy planning and provides valuable prognostic information.

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