Abstract
Abstract Both global and local anthropogenic pressures influence the process of lake eutrophication. The evaluation of their relative contribution requires long-term observation and articulated methodologies. An integrated lake and catchment modeling was performed on a medium-sized phosphorus-limited lake (Lake Pusiano, North Italy). Pristine conditions were simulated coupling model outcomes to paleolimnological analysis, while a specific statistical technique (Spectral Singular Analysis) was used to flatten the air temperature increasing trend between 1960 and 2010. Four different scenarios were simulated to characterize different degrees of local and global pressures on the lake ecological responses.
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