15 Extreme Climate Projections and Risks in China

Abstract

In this chapter, the five global models' simulations using various greenhouse gas emissions scenarios are used to analyze the possible future changes to extreme climate events in China, and some adaptive management measures are proposed. Extreme climate, as one of the factors affecting disaster risk, will also have a greater impact on different climate change related industries (such as water conservation, agriculture, food security, forestry, health, and tourism). The effect of extreme weather events will greatly depend on the degree of exposure and the vulnerability of specific areas. New challenges are posed by the changing extreme climate events, threatening national disaster risk management, and requiring changes to adaptability, responsiveness, flexibility in the face of these new risks. Risk sharing and transfer mechanisms should be established across different levels, on the local and national scale, and new financing means should be provided to improve the adaptability to extreme events. Keywords: China; extreme climate events; greenhouse gas emissions