#1466 Age- and kidney function-dependent life expectancy of patients after COVID-19

Abstract

Abstract Background and Aims The life expectancy among survivors of SARS-CoV-2 infection may be influenced by age, pre-existing health conditions, and the severity of the initial infection. This study aimed to investigate the life expectancy in patients that survived the acute phase of COVID-19 and the association with kidney function. Method Survival data of 649 unvaccinated patients from our previous study “Prospective Validation of a Proteomic Urine Test for Early and Accurate Prognosis of Critical Course Complications in Patients with SARS-CoV-2 Infection” (CRIT-COV-U) [1] was collected until December 2023 in six different countries. These patients had been recruited within the first and second wave in 2020-2021 (mostly infected with wild-type virus) and had survived the acute phase of COVID-19 (CritCov-U study period 21 days after infection). The age dependent death rate in this cohort was compared to age- and sex-matched data of non-SARS-CoV-2 infected patients (n = 5192) extracted from human urinary database. The association of chronic kidney disease biomarker CKD273 with mortality was investigated in both cohorts using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Cox-regression analysis was used to assess variables associated with mortality in the COVID-19 population. Results Mortality was age dependent in both cohorts and markedly higher in patients who had survived the acute phase of COVID-19 in comparison to non-infected individuals (Fig. A-E). Within the first year after infection, mortality was up to 16.5 times higher in patients younger than 50 years in comparison to non-infected controls. Kidney status estimated by the CKD273 score was associated with a poor outcome in both COVID-19 patients and age- and sex-matched controls, respectively (Fig. F-G). The hazard ratio (HR) for mortality during the first year of follow-up for patients with the highest CKD273 score was 12.7, a huge increase in comparison to HR = 6.6 in the matched control group. In the Cox-regression model, CKD273 significantly contributed to death prediction, next to age and COVID-19 severity score at baseline. Conclusion SARS-CoV-2 infection during the first and second wave increased the risk of mortality in the follow-up period beyond the acute phase of the first 21 days. Kidney function appears to be a key element in the underlying molecular pathology of this process, indicating the importance of kidney-protective measures. Of note, among those who survived the acute phase of COVID-19, increase in mortality within the first year after infection compared to a non-infected control group was highest in the younger individuals.