Abstract

The predictive value of tumor mutatio1nal burden (TMB), alone or in combination with an immune gene expression profile (GEP), for response to neoadjuvant therapy in early triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) is currently not known, neither for immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) nor conventional chemotherapy. We obtained both whole exome sequencing and RNA-Seq data from pre-treatment samples of 149 TNBC of the recent neoadjuvant ICB trial GeparNuevo. In a predefined analysis we assessed the predictive value of TMB and a previously developed immune GEP for pathological complete remission (pCR). Median TMB was 1.52 mut/Mb (range 0.02-7.65) and was significantly higher in patients with pCR (median 1.87 vs. 1.39; P=0.005). In multivariate analysis odds ratios for pCR per mut/Mb were 2.06 (95% CI 1.33-3.20, P=0.001) among all patients, 1.77 (95% CI 1.00-3.13, P=0.049) in the durvalumab treatment arm, and 2.82 (95% CI 1.21-6.54, P=0.016) in the placebo treatment arm, respectively. We also found that both continuous TMB and immune GEP (or tumor infiltrating lymphocytes) independently predicted pCR. When we stratified patients in groups based on the upper tertile of TMB and median GEP, we observed a pCR rate of 82% (95% CI 60%-95%) in the group with both high TMB and GEP, in contrast to only 28% (95% CI 16%-43%) in the group with both low TMB and GEP. TMB and immune gene expression profile add independent value for pCR prediction. Our results recommend further analysis of TMB in combination with immune parameters to individually tailor therapies in breast cancer.

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