Abstract

Abstract Background The COVID-19 pandemic interrupted education and widened socioeconomic disparities. In Ontario, schools were closed for 28 weeks, longer than any other state, province, or territory in North America. School interruptions and remote learning are known to have short and long-term negative effects, which differ by socioeconomic status, on students’ academic outcomes. Objectives The objective of this study was to determine whether the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with a greater achievement gap between disadvantaged and non-disadvantaged secondary students in Ontario, Canada. Design/Methods We conducted a population-based observational study comparing scores from Ontario’s Education Quality and Accountability Office (EQAO) standardized Grade 9 Assessment of Mathematics from 2018-19 (pre-COVID year) and 2020-21 (COVID year). Our outcome measure was the EQAO Grade 9 Assessment of Mathematics dot scores. The primary analysis used a mixed-effects multilevel model (with random effects for school board) to calculate the interaction between year and neighborhood family income on math scores (difference in income slope between years) while controlling for confounders. Secondary analyses examined other risk factors (e.g. parental education, newcomer status, and lone-parent home) and their impact during the pandemic. Results In the COVID year, 3,485 of 42,920 eligible Ontario Grade 9 students (8.1%) participated in the EQAO Grade 9 Assessment of Mathematics from 38 of 72 school boards. In the pre-COVID year, within those same 38 school boards, 42,640 of 43,230 eligible Grade 9 students (98.6%) participated in the math assessment. We found that in the pre-COVID year, every one standard deviation increase (or decrease) in mean log-adjusted neighborhood income resulted in a mean increase (or decrease) in test score of 0.088 (95% CI, 0.078 to 0.097; p<0.0001). The effect of income on test score decreased in the COVID year (delta between years, -0.047, 95% CI, -0.060 to -0.033; p<0.0001). Conclusion This population-based observational study demonstrated that neighborhood family income impacted academic performance less in the COVID year compared to the pre-COVID year. The impact of other sociodemographic factors on academic achievement were also modified in the COVID year compared to pre-COVID. Determining how sociodemographic risk factors affected academic achievement during the pandemic may help inform educational recovery strategies and improve educational outcomes for children facing social inequities.

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