Abstract
This study aims to identify the behavior pattern of elderly poverty of the singleperson households, to analyze its causal loop feedback structure, and further to investigate as well as predict its policy leverage through dynamic simulation modeling. The main findings are as follows. Firstly, the elderly poverty rate of the singleperson households increased over time, showing a non-linear and dynamic behavior pattern. Secondly, there were four main feedback loops found centering around the retirement preparation of the middle-aged. It seemed that three positive feedback loops related to the basic income security for the elderly could increase its elderly poverty rate, whereas one negative feedback loop concerning the retirement preparation of the middle-aged might lessen its poverty rate. Finally, the results of dynamic simulation modeling showed that the policies such as Public pension, Semi-public pension, Basic pension, individual pension, and job creation, if partially improved and properly combined, could be used as very useful measures to alleviate the elderly poverty of the single-person households.
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