Abstract

The [Formula: see text] trend filtering ([Formula: see text]-TF) is a new effective tool for nonparametric regression with the power of automatic knot detection in function values or derivatives. It overcomes the drawback of [Formula: see text]-TF that is known to have bias issues. To solve the [Formula: see text]-TF problem, we propose an alternating minimization induced active set (AMIAS) search method based on the necessary optimality conditions derived from an augmented Lagrangian framework. The proposed method takes full advantage of the primal and dual variables with complementary supports, and decouples the high-dimensional problem into two subsystems on the active and inactive sets, respectively. A sequential AMIAS algorithm with warm start initialization is developed for efficient determination of the cardinality parameter, along with the output of solution paths. Theoretically, the oracle estimator of [Formula: see text]-TF is justified to behave like regression splines under the continuous time setting with mild conditions. Our numerical experiments include simulation studies for comparing [Formula: see text]-TF to [Formula: see text]-TF and free-knot splines on several synthetic examples, and a real data application of time series segmentation on Hong Kong PM2.5 indexes. History: Accepted by Antonio Frangioni, Area Editor for Design & Analysis of Algorithms – Continuous. Funding: This work was supported in part by Hong Kong General Research Fund [No. 17306519]. C. Wen’s research is partially supported by National Science Foundation of China [12171449] and Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities [WK3470000027, YD2040002019]. X. Wang’s research is partially supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grants 72171216, 12231017, 71921001, and 71991474], and the National Key R&D Program of China [No. 2022YFA1003803]. Supplemental Material: The e-companion is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/ijoc.2021.0313 . The software that supports the findings of this study is available within the paper and its Supplemental Information ( https://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/suppl/10.1287/ijoc.2021.0313 ) as well as from the IJOC GitHub software repository ( https://github.com/INFORMSJoC/2021.0313 ). The complete IJOC Software and Data Repository is available at https://informsjoc.github.io/ .

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