한국 방위산업의 수출 성장 방향에 관한 실증연구

Abstract

This study is about the direction of growth in Korean defense industry Exports. South Korea's defense industry has grown over the past 50 years, and “Defense Reform 2.0” recognizes the defense industry as one of the ways for strengthening defense capabilities. However, it is also true that the defense industry is suffering from falling sales and the global economic downturn. As overseas demand grows, it is timely to examine the gap between export policy and reality. After then, it is necessary to discuss the direction of growth. Unlike previous studies, this study conducted empirical analysis on the growth of Korean defense industry exports using economic analysis models that take into account supply and demand aspects based on time series data. In other words, the decision factors were set and models were constructed based on the Cobb-Douglas production function and Mundell-Fleming model. As a result of the analysis, the factors that significantly affect the growth of Korean defense industry exports were the number of workers in the defense industry, world military expenditure, real effective exchange rate and economy crisis. The implications were divided into the government and the defense industry. If the policy and management direction are set based on the analysis and implications of this study, it is expected that Korean defense industry exports will continue to grow.