Обґрунтування заходів із мінімізації макрофіскальних ризиків в Україні

Abstract

Introduction. Measures to minimize macro-fiscal risks in Ukraine are substantiated, based on the reduction of volatility of incomes formed as a result of the reproduction of the national economy, quality assurance of macroeconomic proportions. Problem Statement. Comparative analysis of reproductive processes in the national economy in the context of the formation of the system of gross and net income of consolidated national accounts with the application of economic and statistical methods of analysis.Justification of the results of comparative analysis to minimize macro-fiscal risks. Purpose. Justification of measures to minimize macro-financial risks in Ukraine based on the study of the formation of the income system in the national economy and the risks associated with them. Methods. The basis of the study was official statistical data - dynamic series of indicators of consolidated national accounts. The balance method and methods of economic and statistical analysis were used. Results. A system of indicators is proposed for statistical assessment of the volatility of the reproduction processes of the national economy. The formation of the income system and related risks for the economy of Ukraine and Germany has been studied. Measures to minimize macro-financial risks in Ukraine are substantiated. Comparative studies between countries on a single methodological basis made it possible to determine the strengths and weaknesses of the economic cycle of the compared countries, to identify the problems of economic reproduction. Conclusions. Minimization of macro-fiscal risks lies in the maintenance of macroeconomic proportions favourable to economic stability and economic growth, stability and consistency of revenue and expenditure items of the state budget.