Abstract
The article attempts to assess the risks of spatial disintegration of regions using the example of Venezuela. The author proposes his expert assessment of the role and mechanism of each factor of disintegration. The author explores the following factors facilitating disintegration: historical (a history of regional disintegration), socioeconomic (territorial disparities in human development indicators), domestic-political (the electoral geography of the state), ethnocultural (differences in the racial composition of the population by states), transport (the level of transport connectivity of the state with neighbouring states), military-strategic (the deployment of large military units ) and foreign policy (the influence of the neighbouring states on border territories). It has been established that the four states of Venezuela (Amazonas, Bolivar, Zulia and Tachira) are characterized by a high risk of disintegration due to a combination of several factors, which are closely related to each other. The author concludes that the disintegration in the west of the country, in the states of Zulia and Tachira, is fundamentally different from the disintegration of the states of Amazonas and Bolivar, both in terms of factors leading to the disintegration and their manifestation.
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