УПРАВЛІННЯ ДЕРЖАВНИМ БОРГОМ УКРАЇНИ

Abstract

Public debt management and servicing is one of the top priorities for the country’s financial policy, and an important condition for the stability of its financial system. Due to the need of solving the problem of the state debt of Ukraine growth and the cost of servicing it, it is urgent to increase the efficiency of methods for managing it. Ineffective management of Ukraine’s government borrowings, which is mainly used to cover the budget deficit, leads to a decrease in the state’s economic security level and an increase in the burden on the budgetary sphere and an aggravation of the debt situation. The maintenance and management of public debt is inextricably linked with the pursuit of a balanced debt policy and minimization of the risks inherent in public debt. The economic and social development of the country, its stability during the period of economic crises and the post-crisis speed of recovery of the national economic system depend on the efficiency and effectiveness of this management. After experiencing a deep economic crisis in 2014–2015, economic growth began to recover in 2016, and the total public debt in relation to GDP also tends to decrease. This was caused by various factors: the deficit of the state budget and balance of payments, heavy dependence on energy imports, ineffective use of attracted loans and the lack of proper debt management. This article analyzes the existing features of the formation of an effective public debt management system in the context of improving the efficiency of Ukrainian debt policy. The proposed measures of an effective management strategy will contribute to the rational use of borrowings and create the necessary conditions for optimizing the debt burden. The main goals of state debt management in Ukraine were analyzed, as well as the world practice of analyzing public expenditure and financial accountability was considered. The existing problems in the state debt management of Ukraine are identified, practical recommendations are provided for future development of the most effective scenario for solving Ukrainian debt problems. The forecast of public debt was calculated on the basis of a linear regression equation model, and the macroeconomic factors that have the biggest impact on the growth rate of public debt were determined.