КЛАСИФІКАЦІЇ ЗАГРОЗ БЕЗПЕЦІ НА РЕГІОНАЛЬНОМУ ТА СУБРЕГІОНАЛЬНОМУ РІВНЯХ (НА ОСНОВІ РЕЗОЛЮЦІЙ ПЕРШОГО КОМІТЕТУ ГЕНЕРАЛЬНОЇ АСАМБЛЕЇ ООН)

Abstract

Analysis of the resolutions texts of the First Committee of the United Nations General Assembly (UN GA) allows us to identify exactly those threats on which there is a consensus of the majority of the UN GA member states. The purpose of the study is to identify security threats at the regional and subregional levels and to classify them based on the analysis of the resolutions texts of the UN GA First Committee (on disarmament and international security) for 2014–2019. The method of content analysis of Russian-language resolutions texts of the UN General Assembly’s First Committee in 2014–2019, where the key units of analysis were “threat”, “security threat”, allowed to highlight an array of security threats at the regional and subregional levels. The method of cluster analysis allowed to systematize the results of the content analysis according to clearly defined parameters: cross-border security threat in Central Africa; the probable proliferation of nuclear weapons in the Middle East; terrorists may use weapons of mass destruction, international crimes and illicit shipments, as well as the illicit manufacture, consumption and trafficking of drugs in the Mediterranean; the threat of war at the regional level; the threat of war between the states of one region or subregion; disputes between states. In the texts of the resolutions of the First Committee of the UN General Assembly, two main approaches to the classification of threats are identified: according to the degree of danger and relevance. The combination of several classifications in the further analysis will give us an idea of the international community's vision of the essence of threats to international security and disarmament.