电动汽车产业政策对电动汽车推广量的影响研究—以典型示范城市为例

Abstract

电动汽车不仅是国家战略上的重要举措，也将成为未来中国经济可持续增长重要支柱产业。目前中国电动汽车依靠产业政策在全国各大城市广泛推广，受到了较多关注。为了研究电动汽车产业政策对汽车推广的有效性问题，本文以中国典型城市的发展为例，研究城市层面发布的产业政策对电动汽车推广数量的影响机理。首先，本文建立了以产业创新链和“需求–供给”侧政策的政策分析体系；其次，利用内容分析法系统地研究示范推广以来5个典型城市：北京、上海、深圳、杭州、武汉颁布的有关电动汽车发展的政策条文165条，应用政策分析体系对电动汽车产业政策进行了类别划分；最后，通过多元统计分析方法，探索电动产业政策对汽车推广的影响变化，为电动汽车产业政策的进一步实施和完善提供了参考。 Electric vehicle is an important strategy for the state, but also an important pillar industry for the sustainable growth of China’s economy in the future. At present, China’s electric vehicles rely on industrial policies widely promoted in major cities across the country, receiving more attention. This paper takes the typical cities in China as examples to study the influence mechanism of the industrial policies issued by the city level on the promotion of the number of electric vehicles. First of all, this paper establishes a policy analysis system based on industrial innovation chain and “demand-supply” policy. Secondly, we use content analysis method to systematically study five typical cities in five years: Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hangzhou and Wuhan’s policies, then apply the policy analysis system for the electric vehicles industry policies to classify. Finally, through multivariate statistical analysis methods to explore the impact of electric vehicles industry policy on the promotion of electric vehicles changes in order to provide the reference for implementation of the electric vehicles industry policy in future.