МЕТОДИКА ЕКСПЕРТИЗИ РЕЗУЛЬТАТІВ ЕКСПЕРТНОГО ОЦІНЮВАННЯ

Abstract

In modern conditions, namely, in the transformational processes of managing defense resources, aimed at developing the capabilities of the armed forces, making managerial decisions in the organizational systems of military and civilian control, the method of expert assessment is widely used.The expert assessment method is the basis for the work of commissions to check the state of military and industrial facilities, their level of readiness and security, including on the rational allocation of resources, the use of economic opportunities, mobilization training, and the like. The expert assessment also retains its relevance for the future during research exercises, checking the combat and mobilization readiness and security of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, facilities and sectors of the national economy and other state institutions that ensure the national security of the state and its components - military and economic security. Over the years of application, the mechanisms of expert assessment have been thoroughly worked out, requirements have been formed for the procedure for selecting experts, their level of competence, assessment procedures, the procedure for processing the assessment results and other activities. However, in expert assessment it is assumed that all experts are certainly qualified and objective. And if there are subjective errors in their conclusions, then they are levelled out by increasing the number of experts and repetitions of expert evaluation procedures.At the same time, under any circumstances and conditions of expert assessment, the role of the “human factor” remains, in other words, the possibility of bias, corruption in the actions and assessments of experts is not excluded. Especially such factors are possible in the course of managing large material and financial resources, in the case of a limited number of experts. And the consequences of these factors can lead to the irrational use of material values, significant damage, including in the process of developing the capabilities of the armed forces, combat and mobilization readiness.Thus, when applying expert assessment, especially in measures to manage the distribution of large material and financial resources, the problem of a reliable examination of the results of expert assessment is urgent. Such an examination, preferably, in addition to being reliable, should not be cumbersome, expensive, simple, and accessible for practical use.In this paper, on the basis of the analysis of “mechanisms of reasonable control” developed in the theory of active systems, a mechanism for checking (examination) of the results of expert assessment is proposed.