УСИЛЕНИЕ ЭФФЕКТА ОБРАТНОЙ СВЯЗИ У ОБУЧАЮЩИХСЯ ДИСТАНЦИОННО НА ОСНОВЕ АССОЦИАТИВНОЙ МОДЕЛИ ПОЭТАПНОГО ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ

Abstract

It is established that to a number of the pedagogical tasks in system of distance learning which are of great practical importance the low self-discipline of participants of remote organized educational process and, as a result, its frequent circuity in temporary aspect belong a problem of elimination of low motivation of pupils to training, that negatively influences the subsequent stages of studying of a training material. In this regard realization of neural network option of creation of associative model of the forecasting in two parameters of efficiency of educational process provided by means of technologies of the distance learning (DL) is offered: the general point as scores on all modules of the training course and total time spent by the pupil for development of material of all modules of a training course. These parameters were chosen as the development of a training course relating to the main indicators of success. However they aren't equivalent at exposure of the general assessment. The first of them, obviously, is dominating, and another - minor in relation to the first. This situation in practice is realized by that rule at which in case the pupil at remote form of education doesn't finish for any reasons in the recommended terms the educational module reporting work, a certain extra time is provided to it for its end. On this basis the two-dimensional space of forecasting was represented rational to divide four curves of indifference breaking the plane into five mark zones, relating to family of ellipsoidal curves. The choice of ellipsiodalny curve at refusal of the line of a circle is caused by that factor that both predicted parameter aren't equivalent on importance. Further on the basis of associative approach the predictive models developing expected data on individual educational trajectories which serve as further material of the analysis in educational process are under construction. Thus, in work the technique of stage-by-stage pedagogical forecasting of success of training of the listener in system of the distance learning (DL) directed on strengthening of function of feedback which allows a ttor to influence effectively the listener is offered, strengthening his informative motivation by demonstration of his really possible achievements in comparison with the tendency existing at present.