Abstract
The purpose of this work is to synthesize the results of a scenario analysis of a partial equilibrium model with expert assessment methods for a qualitative short-term forecast of the main trends in the development of Russian exports of agricultural products. Despite the aggravation of the external economic situation, the preservation of the previous directions of external supplies of agricultural products, the main trends in the development of exports in the first months of this year, together with the results of the analysis of the partial equilibrium model, showed the presence of the necessary conditions, at least, to stabilize exports of agricultural products at the level of the previous year, 2021.
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