Abstract

This paper considers the structural decomposition approach which identifies the sources of dynamic changes in output and import of goods and services. For analysis the authors use the time series of symmetrical input-output tables for Russia based on NACE rev. 1 classification from WIOD project. The results of the analysis allow one to determine the influence of changes in technology (intermediate demand) and final demand on the increase or decrease in the value of output of domestic goods and services and imports in the whole economy and at the level of 34 industries for the period from 2003 to 2010. Due to the lack of relevant statistics, many a priori assumptions were used in the construction of input-output tables at current and constant prices. Therefore, the estimates obtained from our calculations are mostly illustrative and show features of structural decomposition analysis. In particular, by using this method it is possible to estimate the ratio between the contribution of domestic production and imports by types of goods and services to increase in both the intermediate and final demand. In the latter case, that relates to the final demand of households and growth in gross fixed investment.

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