Исследование влияния стоимости проезда на транспортный спрос методом математического моделирования

Abstract

Purpose: To analyze the methods of mathematical modeling applied in Russian practice in transport and urban planning. To propose methods and algorithms for accounting for public transport fares in the frames of a transport demand and a passenger traffic density model. To test model of public transport system, accounting for a fare on the example of St. Petersburg agglomeration. Methods: Mathematical modeling, processing data large amounts processing, geoinformation analysis. Results: The study of the impact of a fare on a transport demand and a passenger traffic density as a part of complex task being solved on the basis of transport and urban planning modeling on the example of the transport system of St. Petersburg agglomeration has been pursued. Methodology for calculating the matrices of interdistrict correspondences and for passenger flow formation on a transport network given a fare has been developed. It has been revealed that in addition to time limitations, there are also cost ones in service system feasibility. It’s been established that accounting for a fare can be pursued when calculating as correspondence matrices on the basis of fare impact on demand amount as well as passenger flows on the basis of fare impact on a route choice. Practical importance: The developed modeling method can be the basis to study the dependence of influence of rate various types on passenger flow distribution, time and speed parameters. Being proposed model can be used at the development of documentation on territorial and transport planning, of concepts for improvement of rate policy on a public transport.