Abstract
The structural analysis of gross regional product (GRP) of Perm Krai has been conducted. The GRP has been calculated using income and expenditure approaches to determine the influence of each of its components on the growth rate of generalized indicator. The significant statistical discrepancy of GRP values, calculated with different methods, has been revealed. The GRP calculated using the expenditures approach is characterized by the greater range of fluctuation than the gross added value and the GRP calculated using the income approach. The reason of the discrepancy has been determined. It is the incomplete disclosure of interregional relations at the regional level. The authors have highlighted the challenges that arose when calculating the values, including the resulting simplification of the methods of calculation of macroeconomic indicators at regional level that are quite substantial to regions, including Perm Krai. Based on the sensitivity analysis and the results of the correlation analysis the authors have identified factors that have the significant effect on the rate of economic growth in the region. Correlation analysis has shown the high dependence of the GRP on consumer spending both in Perm Krai and in Russia. Empirical analysis has allowed to substantiate the main directions of regional economic policy and to identify the instruments of public administration. The use of these instruments together with the methods affecting the salary range, stimulating consumer demand, investment and government spending will allow the government of Perm Krai to influence economic growth in the region. Keywords economic growth, regional economy, gross regional product, gross added value, sensitivity analysis, correlation analysis, economic policy.
Highlights
Проведен структурный анализ валового регионального продукта (ВРП) Пермского края, рассчитанного на основе распределительного метода и метода конечного использования, с целью определения влияния каждого из его компонентов на темп роста обобщающего показателя
The gross regional product (GRP) calculated using the expenditures approach is characterized by the greater range of fluctuation than the gross added value and the GRP calculated using the income approach
Based on the sensitivity analysis and the results of the correlation analysis the authors have identified factors that have the significant effect on the rate of economic growth in the region
Summary
Проведен структурный анализ валового регионального продукта (ВРП) Пермского края, рассчитанного на основе распределительного метода (по доходам) и метода конечного использования, с целью определения влияния каждого из его компонентов на темп роста обобщающего показателя. При этом ВРП, определенный методом конечного использования, характеризуется большей амплитудой колебания, чем валовая добавленная стоимость и ВРП, рассчитанный по доходам. Возникающие при проведении расчетов, в том числе в результате упрощения методики расчета макроэкономических показателей на региональном уровне, которые являются весьма значимыми для регионов страны, в том числе для Пермского края. При практическом вычислении макроэкономического показателя на региональном уровне допускаются упрощения, которые являются весьма значимыми для регионов страны, в том числе и для Пермского края. Структура ВРП Пермского края по доходам за период 2002–2014 гг. в ценах 2000 г., %*
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callMore From: Вестник Пермского университета. Серия «Экономика» = Perm University Herald. ECONOMY
Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
