Abstract

Using cross-section of 83 countries, this paper empirically examines the relationship between corruption and government expenditure volatility. A country`s corruption is denoted by either control of corruption, compiled by Kaufmann et al. (2008), or corruption perceptions index, provided by Transparency International. In addition, a country`s government expenditure volatility is measured by the standard deviation of the change ratio of government expenditure from 1990 to 2005. Regression results suggest that a country`s control of corruption and corruption perceptions index (higher ratings signifying more transparency) are significantly and negatively associated with the volatility of government expenditure. However, the estimated coefficients of corruption perceptions index show somewhat reduced statistical significances. The results are robust to the sub-sample of countries excluding European OECD countries. Therefore, the regression results suggest corrupt bureaucrats are able to periodically change economic rules of the game, which results in the possibility of a higher variance in government expenditure.

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