Abstract

The article is based on the report by the experts of the Joint-Stock Company «Center of Infrastructure Economy» and Business partnership «New Economic Growth». It considers the possible scenarios of Russian export until 2036 in view of anticipated redistribution of international trade flows. Three stylized scenarios described in the article reflect the emerging opportunities and constraints for Russia’s export in the era of deglobalization. Alongside with the baseline and the business-as-usual scenarios, the paper considers the possible new scenario of radical structural adjustments of Russian export towards manufacturing goods.

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