Abstract
Обґрунтовано необхідність врахування факторів ризику в аграрній сфері України при оцінці ймовірності розвитку фінансової кризи сільськогосподарських підприємств. Узагальнені фактори, які підвищують ймовірність фінансової кризи аграрного підприємства, виділені найбільші загрози для підприємств аграрної сфери, відмічені типові негативні прояви впливу цих загроз на фінансовий стан підприємства. Доведено, що розглянуті фактори не можна ігнорувати при прогнозуванні ймовірності розвитку фінансової кризи. Для оцінки ризику запропоновано використовувати метод експертних оцінок.
Highlights
It has been substantiated that monitoring of the financial crisis development probability is relevant for any enterprise
Factors that increase the probability of financial crisis in an agricultural enterprise were generalized
It was proved that the considered threats cannot be ignored when constructing a model of probability of financial crisis development
Summary
Factors that increase the probability of financial crisis in an agricultural enterprise were generalized. Typical negative effects of threats on the financial state of an enterprise were noted: loss of assets, reduction of highly liquid assets, significant decrease in income, increase of expenses, and as a consequence extra loss appears. It was proved that the considered threats cannot be ignored when constructing a model of probability of financial crisis development. According to the results of the examination, the object of study belongs to the relevant group of enterprises: with low, acceptable or critically dangerous level of risk of financial crisis. Enterprises that are at risk of financial crisis are advised to develop a plan to prevent it. It should include measures to prevent those factors that have been identified as the most threatening
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