Abstract

The article examines the structure of strategic consumers of the metallurgical industry. The most important industries in the structure of consumption of the metallurgical sector are: industrial and civil construction, machine building (mechanical equipment and automobile industry). The integrated types of steel production are identified: based on blast furnace (BF) and basic oxygen furnace (BOF) and electric arc furnace (EAF) steel production technology type. The structural components of the operating cycle of the main types of steel production (iron ore, coal, limestone, scrap, energy), as well as the components of commercial products (main industrial products and related products): steel, sludge, dust, blast furnace gas, converter gas, recovered steam are defined, energy. The cost norms of the material and energy supply sector of the metallurgical sector and the results of metallurgical production in average quantitative terms are substantiated. The trend of global steel production was analyzed and analytical indicators of dynamics were determined (average absolute growth, growth rate, growth rate). In order to ensure further analytical forecasting of industrial product markets, the selection of an approximating curve was made using the method of trend formation. Based on the obtained logarithmic curve, a smoothed estimate of the trend was made and a forecast of world steel production for the period 2023–2027 is formed. The forecast volumes of the metallurgical industry supply markets (iron ore market (iron ore and agglomerate); limestone market, scrap market, energy market), as well as the greening market (recovered steam, converter gas, blast furnace gas) and related products (slag, dust) are determined for the period 2022–2027 The forecast indicators of the growth of markets for industrial products of the metallurgical sector are substantiated. The main principles of the international strategy for the development of the steel market are determined: efficiency and sustainability of development, designing the product life cycle, stimulating the reuse of industrial products; maximum use of scrap, acceleration of decarbonization processes and transition to green steel production, effective and efficient processing of by-products. Proposed areas of the international steel development strategy: ensuring sustainable growth; promoting the development of security markets; development of effective use of related products.

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