Аналіз тенденцій розвитку грошово-кредитної системи України

Abstract

The successful functioning of the national monetary system determines the efficiency of the country’s money circulation, the effectiveness of monetary regulation measures taken by the country’s central bank, and the ability to meet the needs of consumers for various financial services, as well as the effectiveness of measures to rebuild our economy in the post-war period and the ability to function normally under martial law. The purpose of the article is to analyze the trends in the development of the monetary system of Ukraine, to identify the stages of its formation along with the main problems in the current period. The publication examines the formation and stages of development of the monetary system in Ukraine, namely, identifying the following key stages: since 1991 – the beginning of the institutional formation of the monetary system; since 1996 – introduction of the national currency; since 1999 – overcoming the global financial crisis of 1998 and further development of the national monetary system; since 2009 – overcoming the consequences of the global financial crisis of 2008; since 2015 – overcoming the consequences of the russian-Ukrainian war of 2014; since 2020 – overcoming the consequences of the global financial crisis of 2019, accelerated by the coronavirus pandemic; since 2022 – stabilization and overcoming the consequences of the active phase of russia’s aggression against Ukraine. Some key indicators characterizing the country’s monetary system are analyzed, namely: the dynamics of the country’s monetary base, changes in the discount rate, annual growth in the consumer price index, dynamics of the number of operating banks and their assets, dynamics and structure of loans granted by banking institutions, changes in the return on assets and capital of banking institutions. The main risks and causes of their occurrence in the monetary system of Ukraine during the wartime are analyzed. The main current problems of the monetary system of Ukraine in the wartime period are identified, and some directions for overcoming them are proposed. It is proposed that in order to sanitize the banking sector, it is necessary to withdraw insolvent banks from the market; to ensure inflationary stability, it is necessary to ensure a return to the implementation of inflation targeting policy; to restore the economy, in particular the real sector, it is necessary to ease the requirements for regulating loaning activity, to introduce instruments for targeted stimulation of loaning activity of banking institutions.