БАРЬЕРЫ НА ПУТИ СОТРУДНИЧЕСТВА РОССИИ И ОПЕК+

Abstract

The article examines the possibilities and barriers to organizing cooperation between the Russian oil complex and other hydrocarbon exporting countries participating in the OPEC + international deal to stabilize oil prices in the long term. The authors identify possible problems that impede effective cooperation and the implementation of mutual agreements between the countries participating in the OPEC + deal. The paper analyzes price quotations for oil and their fluctuations from production volumes by the leading hydrocarbon exporting countries, compares the positive and negative effects of the collapse of the OPEC + deal, and examines the prospects for Russia's maintaining its positions in the global fuel market in the long term. The analytical base is represented by current Russian and foreign resources (data from the Ministry of Energy of Russia, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, the International Energy Agency EIA), estimates and forecasts of industry experts (PJSC Gazprom Neft), statistical and analytical agencies (Vedomosti, Banks.ru, etc. .). Having considered the likely scenarios for the development of the Russian economy and the oil market, the authors come to the conclusion that it is advisable to continue investments in long-term projects, in research and development work, regardless of further cooperation of Russia in the framework of the OPEC + deal, in order to maintain the country's competitiveness in the world markets. This will make it possible to reduce the cost of production due to new technologies and solutions, even with artificial limitation of hydrocarbon production.