Факторы своеобразия партийно-электорального ландшафта в регионах России

Abstract

Introduction: in the 2000s, political centralization and political space unification trends prevailed in Russia. Under these conditions, dissimilarity of the party-electoral landscape in the Russian regions is manifested in different voting for the main parties in federal and regional elections. Objectives: to identify how stable the dissimilarity of the partyelectoral landscape is reproduced in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation, as well as to determine what factors affect the degree of the party-electoral landscape dissimilarity. Methods: quantitative analysis of votes for the main political parties in federal and regional elections in 2007–2021; calculation of dissimilarity index; correlation analysis of dissimilarity index values between different electoral cycles; regression analysis of factors (socio-cultural, historical, geographical and socio-economic specifics of the region) influencing the dissimilarity index values, i.e., the specifics of the party-electoral landscape of the regions. Results: in general, the regions reveal an average degree of correlation in the index of dissimilarity values between electoral cycles. Regression models account for about half of the variations in the values of dissimilarity index. Conclusions: in most regions, the degree of dissimilarity of the party-electoral landscape is reproduced relatively stable throughout the entire period under review. The analysis of the factors influencing the variability of the degree of the partyelectoral landscape dissimilarity in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation allows to conclude that the socio-cultural specificity of the region has a key impact. In addition, historical and geographical specifics are of significant importance.