Прогнозирование социальных изменений с помощью алгоритмов машинного обучения

Abstract

This study is devoted to analyzing the capabilities of machine learning algorithms in the context of predicting social change. The main objective of the work is to evaluate the effectiveness and accuracy of various machine learning models, including artificial neural networks, decision trees and clustering methods, for analyzing so-cial data and predicting relevant trends. The research methodology includes data collection and preprocessing, training models based on selected algorithms, and evaluating their performance using standard metrics such as accuracy, completeness, and F1-measure. The results demonstrate that the application of machine learning can not only identify current social trends, but also predict future social changes with reasonable probability. The paper also discusses potential limitations related to data availability and quality, as well as ethical consid-erations for the use of algorithmic methods in the social sciences. It concludes by suggesting directions for fur-ther research, including improving the interpretability of models and enhancing multidisciplinary collaboration to better understand social processes.